The average global surface temperature has already increased by 1.04°C in the last 130 years. In particular, according to the scientific reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the sharp increase in global warming since 1950 can no longer be explained by natural climate fluctuations. It is highly likely that greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide (CO₂) are responsible for this, which enter the atmosphere through the burning of fossil fuels such as coal, crude oil and natural gas and through large-scale land use, for example, the deforestation of tropical rainforests, and increase the greenhouse effect.
Global warming - a chain reaction
Rising greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere not only increase air and sea temperatures, but also reduce the total global snow and ice mass. As a result of this, but also due to the increase in the volume of water with rising temperatures, the sea level rises.
Natural cycles in the global climate
Apart from the anthropogenic causes, i.e. those resulting from human activity, the global climate shows more or less strong fluctuations, caused by various natural processes. In general, four different parameters can be named that cause the global climate to fluctuate:
- Changes in incident solar radiation
- Changes in reflected solar radiation
- Changes in thermal radiation emitted into space
- Internal fluctuations of the climate system
Recurrent changes in the earth's orbit can occur in regular, very large intervals of several tens of thousands of years, and high correlations with the climatic changes on earth have been documented here. The activity and thus the radiation of the sun arriving on earth also vary. The conditions on the continents has a direct impact on air and sea circulation and thus on the global climate. Volcanic eruptions emit large amounts of CO₂, probably the best-known greenhouse gas, but also aerosols, volcanic ash and airborne particles, resulting in a temporary cooling of the climate over one to two years.
Sources: Federal Office of the Environment (FOEN) 2017; IPCC 2018, Special Report Global Warming of 1.5º C; FAU Florida Atlantic University 2018